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- Natural Gas Update August 11,2025
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Overview
Natural Gas- NG is down 1.3 cents
NG spot futures have moved lower over the weekend as late August weather forecasts have moderated. Recent strong production and still ample storage levels are seen also providing a negative tinge to NG pricing.
On Friday, LSEG said average gas output in the Lower 48 states rose to 108.2 BCF/d so far in August. Output is on track for a new monthly record high, above July's record of 107.9 BCF/d.
On August 5th, LSEG said that August production had averaged 108.0 BCF/d so far.
On Friday, LSEG projected average gas demand in the Lower 48 states, including exports, would rise from 105.9 BCF/d "this" week to 109.0 BCF/d "next" week and 111.3 BCF/d in two weeks. The forecast for "this" week and "next" was down 1.4 BCF/d from Monday's estimates.
The average amount of gas flowing to the eight big U.S. LNG export plants rose to 16.1 BCF/d so far in August, up from 15.5 BCF/d in July. The August average tops the April record of 16.0 BCF/d.
Friday's CFTC COT report showed that money managers added to their net NG short positioning in the week ended Tuesday August 5th. The net short total rose by 14,722 contracts as mostly new shorts were added. The net short total rose to 27,727 contracts.
The Baker Hughes oil rig count issued Friday showed one unit was idled.
The NG spot futures session's low of 2.881 was seen on the opening last night, thus testing the recent low of 2.895. Below that support is seen at the major lows at 2.858-2.859. Resistance lies at 3.074-3.078. Momentum remains positive basis the DC chart for NG.
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Disclaimer
This article and its contents are provided for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any commodity, futures contract, option contract, or other transaction. Although any statements of fact have been obtained from and are based on sources that the Firm believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete or condensed.
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